Villefranche 0-1 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.66
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.44
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
13%
4.47
6+ Goals
7%
24.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 34% vs market 33.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.85
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
11.25
X/1
15%
5.99
X/2
16%
6.84
X/X
23%
3.38
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
8%
4.8
2/X
5%
11.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.3pp
32%
Draw
34%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.2pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -4%
1.14/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.39
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Quevilly
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.75 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
342 Passes 129
80% Pass Accuracy 59%
17 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 5
6 Yellow Cards 3
19.01.2025 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
29.05.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 2-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR2
09.02.2021 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
04.09.2020 Villefranche Villefranche 0-1 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
31.01.2020 Villefranche Villefranche 2-0 HT 2-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
0-1
AWAY Quevilly
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly squeezed past Villefranche 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Quevilly found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Villefranche had 65% of the ball to Quevilly's 35%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Villefranche had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Villefranche and 0.60 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Quevilly?

Villefranche 0-1 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 39%, draw 32%, Quevilly 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Villefranche) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villefranche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
9 May 2025
20:30 Concarneau vs Le Mans FC Analysis →
20:30 Sochaux vs Bourg en Bresse 01 Analysis →
20:30 Rouen vs Paris 13 Atletico Analysis →
20:30 Valenciennes vs Nancy Analysis →
20:30 Dijon vs Boulogne Analysis →