Rigas Skola 5-1 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-12.8pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.2pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.5pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
2.75/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.60
+18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 70%
45.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
27.0 Crosses 10.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
5W-1D-0L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.96 xG 0.56
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
543 Passes 165
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
52 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-2 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
06.10.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-3 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
17.09.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 3-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
20.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 1-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
07.04.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
29.10.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
5-1
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
3.43 xG 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
403 Passes 316
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
45 Box Touches 20
33 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola cruised past BFC Daugavpils 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 55% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 45%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.43 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.67 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils?

Rigas Skola 5-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 69%, draw 19%, BFC Daugavpils 12%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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