Gaziantep FK 0-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 May 2025

Gaziantep FK
0-1 HT 0-0
Alanyaspor
📅09/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 29% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.85
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
6.11
X/2
10%
5.84
X/X
15%
5.06
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
3.58
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · X/1 at 6.11 — our 22% vs market 12.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
37%
+9.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
37%
-8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Alanyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.39/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.23
+15% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.7 Crosses 20.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.42 xG 2.07
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
334 Passes 436
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
02.04.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-3 HT 0-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
11.11.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
29.10.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
15.05.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
03.03.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TÜK

Gaziantep FK 0-1 Alanyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
0-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.39 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
458 Passes 287
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor nicked a narrow win over Gaziantep FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gaziantep FK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 60% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 40%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.39 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gaziantep FK and 2.17 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

Gaziantep FK 0-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 46%, draw 26%, Alanyaspor 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gaziantep FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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