Vastra Frolunda IF 5-3 Astrio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.8pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+11.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Astrio EU Bookmakers 18%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.90/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.17
-17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +87%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Astrio
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2025 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 5-1 HT 3-0 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
06.06.2025 Astrio Astrio 1-1 HT 0-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
06.10.2024 Astrio Astrio 5-1 HT 4-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
20.06.2024 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 4-3 HT 3-1 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
23.09.2023 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-0 HT 1-0 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Astrio Astrio 0-1 HT 0-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
5-3
AWAY Astrio
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vastra Frolunda IF vs Astrio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vastra Frolunda IF beat Astrio 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vastra Frolunda IF as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vastra Frolunda IF had 47% of the ball to Astrio's 53%, shots finished 13-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vastra Frolunda IF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Vastra Frolunda IF and 1.67 for Astrio.

What was the final score of Vastra Frolunda IF vs Astrio?

Vastra Frolunda IF 5-3 Astrio in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vastra Frolunda IF vs Astrio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vastra Frolunda IF win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Vastra Frolunda IF 55%, draw 19%, Astrio 27%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
9 May 2026
13:30 FC Gute vs Taby Analysis →
14:00 Franke vs Falu BS Analysis →
14:00 Enskede IK vs Sunnersta Analysis →
14:00 Korsnas IF FK vs Skiljebo SK Analysis →
14:00 Lilla Torg vs Växjö Norra Analysis →
14:00 Karlslunds IF HFK vs Lindo FF Analysis →