Holstein Kiel 1-3 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 9 May 2026

Holstein Kiel
1-3 HT 0-2
Magdeburg
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Holstein Kiel vs Magdeburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.6
6+ Goals
14%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
33%
+6.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.9pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holstein Kiel v Magdeburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.66/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.31
+7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +49%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
19.1 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Holstein Kiel vs Magdeburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Magdeburg
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.39 xG 2.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
278 Passes 366
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Magdeburg Magdeburg 3-3 HT 2-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
02.02.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
01.11.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-3 HT 0-2 Magdeburg Magdeburg AFK
20.08.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-4 HT 1-2 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
11.02.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-3 HT 1-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
07.08.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2

Holstein Kiel 1-3 Magdeburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstein Kiel
1-3
AWAY Magdeburg
1.30 xG 1.82
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 6
385 Passes 261
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Holstein Kiel vs Magdeburg
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Magdeburg beat Holstein Kiel 3-1 away from home in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 9 May 2026. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Holstein Kiel had 59% of the ball to Magdeburg's 41%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.30 to 1.82.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Holstein Kiel and 2.50 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Magdeburg?

Holstein Kiel 1-3 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 40%, draw 21%, Magdeburg 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holstein Kiel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstein Kiel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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