Nürnberg 3-0 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 9 May 2026

Nürnberg
3-0 HT 2-0
Schalke 04
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Nürnberg vs Schalke 04 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.38
1/2
6%
24.8
1/X
8%
12.1
X/1
17%
5.85
X/2
13%
6.16
X/X
9%
5.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.5
2/2
18%
3.67
2/X
6%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg v Schalke 04 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.47/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.53
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
18.3 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Nürnberg vs Schalke 04 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Schalke 04
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 272
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.12.2025 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
25.01.2025 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-1 HT 3-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
10.08.2024 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-1 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
13.04.2024 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
04.11.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
10.01.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg HAZ

Nürnberg 3-0 Schalke 04 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
3-0
AWAY Schalke 04
2.31 xG 2.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 322
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg cruised past Schalke 04 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Nürnberg found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Nürnberg had 48% of the ball to Schalke 04's 52%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 2.31 to 2.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nürnberg and 1.50 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Schalke 04?

Nürnberg 3-0 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 40%, draw 23%, Schalke 04 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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