Schalke 04 3-1 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 25 Jan 2025

Schalke 04
3-1 HT 3-1
Nürnberg
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.1
Over 2.5
64%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
3.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
31%
2.98
6+ Goals
15%
9.33
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.06
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.23
X/2
15%
6.51
X/X
8%
5.29
2/1
6%
23.4
2/2
15%
4.29
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.1pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Schalke 04 v Nürnberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.56/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.43
+32% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.6 Crosses 16.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.85 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
281 Passes 315
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-1 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
13.04.2024 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
04.11.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
10.01.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg HAZ
15.05.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
10.12.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 4-1 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2

Schalke 04 3-1 Nürnberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
3-1
AWAY Nürnberg
1.14 xG 1.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
403 Passes 405
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 got the better of Nürnberg 3-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Schalke 04 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 49% of the ball to Nürnberg's 51%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.14 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.17 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg?

Schalke 04 3-1 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 39%, draw 24%, Nürnberg 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025
15:00 Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Analysis →
15:00 Köln vs Elversberg Analysis →
22:30 Hertha Berlin vs Hamburg Analysis →