Hertha Berlin vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hertha Berlin v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals
Hertha Berlin vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-2
Hamburg
AFK
3-0
HT 2-0
Hertha Berlin
AL2
0-2
HT 0-1
Hertha Berlin
AL1P
0-1
HT 0-0
Hamburg
AL1P
Hertha Berlin 2-3 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics
Hamburg edged past Hertha Berlin 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Hertha Berlin had 61% of the ball to Hamburg's 39%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.62 to 0.79 — on chances, Hertha Berlin could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.67 for Hamburg.
What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Hamburg?
Hertha Berlin 2-3 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Hamburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 29%, draw 28%, Hamburg 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.