Karlsruher SC 2-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 25 Jan 2025

Karlsruher SC
2-3 HT 2-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
15%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.41
1/2
9%
24.7
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.73
X/2
11%
6.01
X/X
13%
5.57
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
16%
3.66
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karlsruher SC v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.75/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.40
+33% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
23.2 Crosses 18.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 1.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
370 Passes 383
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-0 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
17.02.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
01.09.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
30.04.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
23.10.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-2 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
03.04.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-2 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Karlsruher SC 2-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
2-3
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.80 xG 2.22
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
207 Passes 493
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf squeezed past Karlsruher SC 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Fortuna Düsseldorf made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 34% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 66%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.80 to 2.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortuna Düsseldorf's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Karlsruher SC and 2.00 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Karlsruher SC 2-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 36%, draw 28%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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