Karlsruher SC 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 17 Feb 2024

Karlsruher SC
2-2 HT 0-1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.15
6+ Goals
16%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.88
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.95
X/2
9%
5.31
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.31
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karlsruher SC v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.82/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.19
+16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
23.7 Crosses 21.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.97 xG 2.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
362 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.09.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
30.04.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
23.10.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-2 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
03.04.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-2 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
23.10.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
03.05.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2

Karlsruher SC 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
2-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.67 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
402 Passes 397
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC and Fortuna Düsseldorf couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 50% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 50%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.67 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Karlsruher SC and 2.67 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Karlsruher SC 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 39%, draw 25%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlsruher SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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