Schalke 04 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
28%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.2
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
12%
4.08
X/2
10%
8.98
X/X
13%
5.36
2/1
7%
22.05
2/2
12%
6.58
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.01/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.70
+26% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
23.1 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.60
57% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
446 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
02.09.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
24.10.2017 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-3 HT 0-2 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
1-0
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.38 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
376 Passes 392
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 nicked a narrow win over Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Schalke 04 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 49% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 51%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.38 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.00 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Schalke 04 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 44%, draw 26%, Wehen Wiesbaden 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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