Hansa Rostock 2-2 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
43%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
6.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.02
1/2
8%
19.65
1/X
10%
14.35
X/1
11%
10.6
X/2
13%
4.2
X/X
9%
6.34
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
22%
1.97
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
21%
+10.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
43%
Away Win
57%
-14.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 61%
-15% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -17%
1.74/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.58
-2% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
18.1 Crosses 21.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hamburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.22 xG 2.43
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
204 Passes 441
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
05.02.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
24.07.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
15.05.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-3 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
12.12.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 3-0 HT 2-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
03.05.2008 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-3 HT 0-2 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
2-2
AWAY Hamburg
1.21 xG 2.05
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
268 Passes 441
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock and Hamburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hamburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 40% of the ball to Hamburg's 60%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.21 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hansa Rostock and 2.17 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Hamburg?

Hansa Rostock 2-2 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 32%, draw 26%, Hamburg 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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