Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-0 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.49
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
13%
4.74
X/2
9%
8.07
X/X
10%
5.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
2/2
18%
5.23
2/X
9%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -17%
1.64/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.64
+20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
24.9 Crosses 20.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.07 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
374 Passes 362
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
01.09.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
30.04.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
23.10.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-2 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
03.04.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-2 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
23.10.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
0-0
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.01 xG 0.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
436 Passes 416
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf and Karlsruher SC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 51% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 49%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.01 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.33 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Karlsruher SC?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-0 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 39%, draw 26%, Karlsruher SC 36%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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