Elversberg 2-2 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.32
2-3 Goals
33%
1.98
4-5 Goals
31%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.43
1/2
9%
20.75
1/X
4%
13.1
X/1
8%
8.48
X/2
17%
4.67
X/X
11%
5.84
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.38
2/X
11%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 54%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.13/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.13
-72% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
14.6 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
2-2
AWAY Köln
1.40 xG 2.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 13
303 Passes 392
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 46
12 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg and Köln shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Köln at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Elversberg had 44% of the ball to Köln's 56%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 1.40 to 2.76.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Köln?

Elversberg 2-2 Köln in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 26%, draw 26%, Köln 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024
14:00 Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Karlsruher SC Analysis →
14:00 Nürnberg vs Schalke 04 Analysis →
21:30 Hamburg vs Hertha Berlin Analysis →