Hamburg vs Hertha Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamburg v Hertha Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Hamburg vs Hertha Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-2
Hamburg
AFK
3-0
HT 2-0
Hertha Berlin
AL2
0-2
HT 0-1
Hertha Berlin
AL1P
0-1
HT 0-0
Hamburg
AL1P
2-0
HT 2-0
Hertha Berlin
HAZ
Hamburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Hamburg and Hertha Berlin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Hamburg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.
On the day, Hamburg had 41% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 59%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.09 to 0.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hamburg and 1.00 for Hertha Berlin.
What was the final score of Hamburg vs Hertha Berlin?
Hamburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Hertha Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 46%, draw 23%, Hertha Berlin 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.