Köln 1-0 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 25 Jan 2025

Köln
1-0 HT 0-0
Elversberg
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Köln vs Elversberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
16%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.58
X/2
6%
8.58
X/X
7%
5.79
2/1
7%
20.55
2/2
14%
6.06
2/X
8%
14.35
Value flag · 1/X at 13.25 — our 11% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln v Elversberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.89/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.60
+18% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
22.7 Crosses 11.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Köln vs Elversberg Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Elversberg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.76 xG 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 4
392 Passes 303
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
46 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 2-2 HT 0-1 Köln Köln AL2

Köln 1-0 Elversberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
1-0
AWAY Elversberg
0.87 xG 0.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
290 Passes 348
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Köln vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln edged past Elversberg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Köln had 47% of the ball to Elversberg's 53%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.87 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Köln vs Elversberg?

Köln 1-0 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Köln 47%, draw 26%, Elversberg 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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