Schalke 04 2-0 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.23
X/2
9%
10.35
X/X
9%
6.05
2/1
6%
20.55
2/2
10%
7.07
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.94/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.66
+20% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.9 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nürnberg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.72 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
315 Passes 318
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
10.01.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg HAZ
15.05.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
10.12.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 4-1 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
12.04.2019 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
24.11.2018 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 5-2 HT 2-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
2-0
AWAY Nürnberg
2.08 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
23 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
228 Passes 340
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
44 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 beat Nürnberg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Schalke 04 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 43% of the ball to Nürnberg's 57%, shots finished 23-18, expected goals 2.08 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.17 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg?

Schalke 04 2-0 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 50%, draw 25%, Nürnberg 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✓ Under 2.5
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