Holstein Kiel 4-0 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

Holstein Kiel
4-0 HT 2-0
Osnabrück
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.87
2-3 Goals
39%
2.05
4-5 Goals
24%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
5.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
16%
3.88
X/2
6%
14.15
X/X
14%
7.38
2/1
9%
19.7
2/2
10%
9.73
2/X
6%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.9pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holstein Kiel v Osnabrück — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.93/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.55
-8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.6 Crosses 13.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.33 xG 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
441 Passes 297
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
24.04.2021 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-3 HT 0-3 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
03.01.2021 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-2 HT 0-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
21.06.2020 Osnabrück Osnabrück 4-1 HT 2-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
07.12.2019 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-4 HT 2-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
10.03.2017 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-1 HT 2-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL3

Holstein Kiel 4-0 Osnabrück — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstein Kiel
4-0
AWAY Osnabrück
1.73 xG 0.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
391 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel swept aside Osnabrück 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holstein Kiel as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Holstein Kiel had 58% of the ball to Osnabrück's 42%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.73 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Holstein Kiel and 2.33 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück?

Holstein Kiel 4-0 Osnabrück in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 52%, draw 25%, Osnabrück 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstein Kiel), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holstein Kiel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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