Paderborn 1-1 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

Paderborn
1-1 HT 1-1
Karlsruher SC
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Paderborn vs Karlsruher SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.07
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
17%
5.48
X/2
11%
6.49
X/X
13%
5.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.15
2/2
19%
3.89
2/X
8%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.0pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paderborn v Karlsruher SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.72/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.42
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
19.6 Crosses 22.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Paderborn vs Karlsruher SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.01 xG 1.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
376 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-3 HT 0-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
27.01.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
17.07.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 5-0 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
10.04.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 2-2 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
31.10.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-4 HT 0-4 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
19.03.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 2-2 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2

Paderborn 1-1 Karlsruher SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn
1-1
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.37 xG 1.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
349 Passes 435
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paderborn vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn and Karlsruher SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Paderborn had 46% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 54%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.37 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Paderborn and 1.00 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Paderborn vs Karlsruher SC?

Paderborn 1-1 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 38%, draw 26%, Karlsruher SC 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024
14:00 Wehen Wiesbaden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Analysis →
14:00 Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück Analysis →
21:30 Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg Analysis →