Wehen Wiesbaden 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

Wehen Wiesbaden
0-2 HT 0-1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.01
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
10%
7.62
X/2
14%
4.74
X/X
14%
5.51
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
24%
2.58
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wehen Wiesbaden v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.18/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.91
-20% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +49%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
15.6 Crosses 21.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.13 xG 2.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
293 Passes 524
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 29
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-3 HT 0-3 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2

Wehen Wiesbaden 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
0-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.38 xG 1.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
432 Passes 567
87% Pass Accuracy 92%
16 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf beat Wehen Wiesbaden 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 45% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 55%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.38 to 1.46.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Wehen Wiesbaden 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 24%, draw 29%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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