Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Schalke 04 v Nürnberg — Team-Based Signals
Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Schalke 04
AL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Nürnberg
HAZ
1-2
HT 0-1
Schalke 04
AL2
Schalke 04 1-0 Nürnberg — Actual Match Statistics
Schalke 04 squeezed past Nürnberg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Schalke 04 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Schalke 04 had 35% of the ball to Nürnberg's 65%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 0.45 to 1.04 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nürnberg.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.17 for Nürnberg.
What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg?
Schalke 04 1-0 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 50%, draw 22%, Nürnberg 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.