Elversberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elversberg v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals
Elversberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
AL2
Elversberg 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics
Elversberg squeezed past Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elversberg as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Elversberg had 56% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 44%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.69 — on chances, Fortuna Düsseldorf could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elversberg and 1.75 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
What was the final score of Elversberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Elversberg 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 59%, draw 22%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.