Osnabrück 1-1 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 May 2026

Osnabrück
1-1 HT 1-1
Ulm 1846
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Osnabrück vs Ulm 1846 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.98
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
21%
4.31
X/2
6%
10.35
X/X
11%
6.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.5
2/2
7%
7.52
2/X
6%
15.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.5 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.5pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osnabrück v Ulm 1846 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.03/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.72
+2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.7 Crosses 19.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Osnabrück vs Ulm 1846 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ulm 1846
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
326 Passes 439
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
12.12.2025 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 3-5 HT 1-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3

Osnabrück 1-1 Ulm 1846 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
1-1
AWAY Ulm 1846
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
333 Passes 417
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück and Ulm 1846 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Osnabrück carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Osnabrück had 46% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 54%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Ulm 1846?

Osnabrück 1-1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 58%, draw 25%, Ulm 1846 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Osnabrück), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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