1860 München 1-2 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.15
1/2 EV+ ✓
10%
25.0
1/X
8%
12.0
X/1
11%
5.65
X/2
12%
6.5
X/X
6%
5.57
2/1
6%
22.65
2/2
13%
3.91
2/X
9%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.2pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.22/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.18
+23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
19.2 Crosses 19.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ingolstadt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
280 Passes 335
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-2 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
08.02.2025 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
31.08.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-2 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
11.02.2024 1860 München 1860 München 3-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
16.09.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
03.04.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-3 HT 0-2 1860 München 1860 München AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
1-2
AWAY Ingolstadt
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
434 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt squeezed past 1860 München 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ingolstadt found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, 1860 München had 59% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 41%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for 1860 München and 1.17 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Ingolstadt?

1860 München 1-2 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 41%, draw 23%, Ingolstadt 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (1860 München) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (1860 München) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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