Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 May 2026

Rot-Weiss Essen
1-0 HT 0-0
Verl
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Verl Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.33
No
39%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.63
2-3 Goals
40%
2.14
4-5 Goals
26%
2.39
6+ Goals
13%
4.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.04
1/2
5%
22.65
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
16%
5.87
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
6.65
X/X
6%
6.55
2/1
6%
20.3
2/2
17%
3.67
2/X
9%
12.3
Value flag · X/2 at 6.65 — our 17% vs market 11.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
71%
-10.2pp
39%
BTTS No
29%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Verl — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.59/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.53
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.0 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Verl Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Verl
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
183 Passes 568
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Verl Verl 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
28.03.2025 Verl Verl 3-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
23.10.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-3 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
10.03.2024 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
07.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-5 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
21.01.2023 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 Verl — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1-0
AWAY Verl
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
176 Passes 458
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen squeezed past Verl 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rot-Weiss Essen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 34% of the ball to Verl's 66%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Verl led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 2.17 for Verl.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Verl?

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 39%, draw 22%, Verl 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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