Freiburg (K) 2-4 Wolfsburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 9 May 2026

Freiburg (K)
2-4 HT 1-2
Wolfsburg (K)
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.7pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Wolfsburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.23/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.13
+11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +43%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
16.8 Crosses 21.5
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.92 xG 2.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 5
260 Passes 368
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.12.2025 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
13.04.2025 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
03.11.2024 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
13.04.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB

Freiburg (K) 2-4 Wolfsburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
2-4
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
1.32 xG 2.01
30% Ball Possession 70%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
187 Passes 539
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) beat Freiburg (K) 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 30% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 70%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.32 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Freiburg (K) and 2.75 for Wolfsburg (K).

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Freiburg (K) 2-4 Wolfsburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 20%, draw 24%, Wolfsburg (K) 56%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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