FSV Frankfurt 1-1 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
2.00/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.70
+11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Frankfurt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-1 HT 0-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
02.04.2025 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 1-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
28.09.2024 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 1-0 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
06.04.2024 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 2-3 HT 2-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 2-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
04.04.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-1 HT 1-1 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Frankfurt and Mainz 05 II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was FSV Frankfurt at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FSV Frankfurt and 1.50 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 II?

FSV Frankfurt 1-1 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FSV Frankfurt 42%, draw 22%, Mainz 05 II 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FSV Frankfurt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FSV Frankfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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