Willem II 1-1 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 May 2026

Willem II
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
RKC Waalwijk
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over
57%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.54
No
41%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.08
2-3
45%
1.83
4-5
26%
2.9
6+
8%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.67
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
16%
4.92
X/2
9%
7.42
X/X
15%
5.3
2/1 ✗
3%
21.8
2/2
14%
5.04
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 3% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Willem II v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Willem II The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.98 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
Weak Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Strong
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2

Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
5W-0D-1L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
364 Passes 318
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2026 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
08.02.2026 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
17.10.2025 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-3 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
26.01.2025 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
15.09.2024 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 2-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
06.02.2022 Willem II Willem II 3-1 HT 3-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

Willem II 1-1 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
1 - 1
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
0.82 xG 1.01
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
233 Passes 486
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Willem II and RKC Waalwijk finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 50% lean on Willem II didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.82 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Willem II against 1.00 for RKC Waalwijk.

Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk Result & Final Score

Willem II 1 - 1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Willem II 50%, draw 25%, RKC Waalwijk 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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