Melhus 2-2 Nardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 9 May 2026

Melhus
2-2 HT 2-1
Nardo
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.8
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.33
No
37%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
51%
+4.4pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
71%
-8.1pp
37%
BTTS No
29%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Nardo EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.25/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.99
-6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melhus
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Nardo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2025 Melhus Melhus 1-0 HT 0-0 Nardo Nardo NOR4
15.06.2025 Nardo Nardo 2-0 HT 1-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
10.08.2024 Melhus Melhus 0-2 HT 0-0 Nardo Nardo NOR4
15.06.2024 Nardo Nardo 4-1 HT 2-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
17.09.2022 Nardo Nardo 2-0 HT 0-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
10.06.2022 Melhus Melhus 0-5 HT 0-2 Nardo Nardo NOR4
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Nardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus and Nardo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Melhus carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nardo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Melhus and 2.50 for Nardo.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Nardo?

Melhus 2-2 Nardo in the Norway - 3rd Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Nardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Melhus 56%, draw 19%, Nardo 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melhus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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