Mafra 3-3 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 May 2026

Mafra
3-3 HT 2-0
Academica
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Mafra vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mafra v Academica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.38/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.89
+16% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mafra vs Academica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Academica
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.56 xG 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
369 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.03.2026 Academica Academica 2-0 HT 1-0 Mafra Mafra POR3
06.12.2025 Academica Academica 3-3 HT 1-2 Mafra Mafra POR3
24.08.2025 Mafra Mafra 1-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
30.04.2022 Academica Academica 0-2 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
18.12.2021 Mafra Mafra 2-2 HT 1-0 Academica Academica POR2
08.05.2021 Mafra Mafra 2-2 HT 2-0 Academica Academica POR2

Mafra 3-3 Academica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
3-3
AWAY Academica
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Mafra vs Academica
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Mafra and Academica shared the points in a 3-3 draw in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 9 May 2026. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mafra had 50% of the ball to Academica's 50%, shots finished 13-18.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mafra have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mafra and 1.50 for Academica.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Academica?

Mafra 3-3 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mafra 35%, draw 29%, Academica 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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