Academica 2-0 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.11/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.16
-16% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mafra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.75 xG 1.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 Passes 369
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2025 Academica Academica 3-3 HT 1-2 Mafra Mafra POR3
24.08.2025 Mafra Mafra 1-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
30.04.2022 Academica Academica 0-2 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
18.12.2021 Mafra Mafra 2-2 HT 1-0 Academica Academica POR2
08.05.2021 Mafra Mafra 2-2 HT 2-0 Academica Academica POR2
11.01.2021 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
2-0
AWAY Mafra
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Academica vs Mafra
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Academica beat Mafra 2-0 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15 Mar 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Academica had 47% of the ball to Mafra's 53%, shots finished 9-8.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mafra lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Academica and 1.67 for Mafra.

What was the final score of Academica vs Mafra?

Academica 2-0 Mafra in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Academica 41%, draw 27%, Mafra 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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