Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Trofense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes II v Trofense — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Trofense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Trofense
POR2
1-5
HT 1-2
Vitoria Guimaraes II
POR2
3-1
HT 2-1
Trofense
HAZ
Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-2 Trofense — Actual Match Statistics
Trofense edged past Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes II had 62% of the ball to Trofense's 38%, shots finished 14-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes II had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes II and 0.80 for Trofense.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Trofense?
Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-2 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Trofense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes II 44%, draw 27%, Trofense 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.