Fafe 1-1 AD Marco 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.29/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.45
-14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
0W-2D-0L
AWAY AD Marco 09
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2025 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 1-1 HT 1-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
24.08.2025 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1-1
AWAY AD Marco 09
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Fafe vs AD Marco 09
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fafe and AD Marco 09 shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15 Mar 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fafe had 47% of the ball to AD Marco 09's 53%, shots finished 9-15.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours are even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fafe and 0.50 for AD Marco 09.

What was the final score of Fafe vs AD Marco 09?

Fafe 1-1 AD Marco 09 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs AD Marco 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fafe 51%, draw 25%, AD Marco 09 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5
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