AD Marco 09 1-1 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Dec 2025

AD Marco 09
1-1 HT 1-0
Fafe
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

AD Marco 09 vs Fafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AD Marco 09 v Fafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.52/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.74
-58% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

AD Marco 09 vs Fafe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AD Marco 09
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fafe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 11
The Meetings
24.08.2025 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3

AD Marco 09 1-1 Fafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AD Marco 09
1-1
AWAY Fafe
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AD Marco 09 vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AD Marco 09 and Fafe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, AD Marco 09 had 26% of the ball to Fafe's 74%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of AD Marco 09 vs Fafe?

AD Marco 09 1-1 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Marco 09 vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AD Marco 09 35%, draw 28%, Fafe 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
7 Dec 2025
18:00 Varzim vs Sporting Braga II Analysis →
18:00 Trofense vs Paredes Analysis →
18:00 Sporting Covilha vs Uniao Santarem Analysis →
18:00 Lusitano Évora 1911 vs CF Os Belenenses Analysis →
19:00 Caldas vs Atletico CP Analysis →