Varzim 3-1 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.24/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.13
-7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
07.12.2024 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
24.08.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
13.04.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-1 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
17.02.2024 Varzim Varzim 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
04.11.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 2-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
3-1
AWAY Sporting Braga II
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim beat Sporting Braga II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varzim had 53% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 47%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Varzim and 0.83 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Sporting Braga II?

Varzim 3-1 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Varzim 45%, draw 27%, Sporting Braga II 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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