Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 40%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.30/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.64
+3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 CF Os Belenenses 1-0 HT 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
0-1
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
60% Ball Possession 40%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lusitano Évora 1911 vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses edged past Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day CF Os Belenenses made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 60% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 40%, shots finished 5-5.

What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs CF Os Belenenses?

Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 40%, draw 28%, CF Os Belenenses 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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