Caldas 0-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.99/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.28
-22% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-0 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
19.01.2025 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
06.10.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 4-0 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
05.11.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-2 HT 0-2 Caldas Caldas POR3
08.08.2023 Caldas Caldas 3-3 HT 2-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
0-1
AWAY Atletico CP
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP nicked a narrow win over Caldas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Caldas had 48% of the ball to Atletico CP's 52%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atletico CP led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Caldas and 2.00 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Atletico CP?

Caldas 0-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caldas 43%, draw 24%, Atletico CP 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caldas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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