Sao Joao Ver 3-1 Paredes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
14%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Paredes EU Bookmakers 49%
+25% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.13/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.77
+1% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Paredes
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2026 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-2 HT 1-2 Paredes Paredes POR3
02.11.2025 Paredes Paredes 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
20.10.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 4-1 HT 2-1 Paredes Paredes POK
04.03.2023 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-1 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
26.11.2022 Paredes Paredes 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
3-1
AWAY Paredes
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Sao Joao Ver vs Paredes
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sao Joao Ver beat Paredes 3-1 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15 Mar 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 59% of the ball to Paredes's 41%, shots finished 9-16.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 0.80 for Paredes.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Paredes?

Sao Joao Ver 3-1 Paredes in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Paredes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paredes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 28%, draw 29%, Paredes 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paredes), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paredes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
15 Mar 2026
14:00 Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Trofense Analysis →
18:00 Fafe vs AD Marco 09 Analysis →
18:00 Sanjoanense vs Sporting Braga II Analysis →
23:15 Academica vs Mafra Analysis →