Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-2 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
26%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 43%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.78/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.24
-37% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Trofense
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
19.04.2015 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-0 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR2
15.11.2014 Trofense Trofense 1-5 HT 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR2
19.07.2014 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 3-1 HT 2-1 Trofense Trofense HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II
1-2
AWAY Trofense
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Trofense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Trofense edged past Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-1 away from home in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28 Sep 2025. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes II had 64% of the ball to Trofense's 36%, shots finished 16-7.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes II have the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes II and 0.67 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Trofense?

Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-2 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes II 30%, draw 28%, Trofense 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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