Amora FC 0-2 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amora FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.35/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.04
+10% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
182 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amora FC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.04.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 3-0 HT 1-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
09.04.2023 CF Os Belenenses 3-0 HT 1-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
21.01.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 2-1 HT 2-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amora FC
0-2
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amora FC vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses saw off Amora FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CF Os Belenenses as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Amora FC had 46% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 54%, shots finished 3-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Amora FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Amora FC and 1.33 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Amora FC vs CF Os Belenenses?

Amora FC 0-2 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amora FC vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated an CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Amora FC 30%, draw 27%, CF Os Belenenses 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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