Trofense 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Jan 2026

Trofense
0-1 HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes II
📅04/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Trofense vs Vitoria Guimaraes II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trofense v Vitoria Guimaraes II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.46/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.79
+11% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +64%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
236 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Trofense vs Vitoria Guimaraes II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2025 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-2 HT 0-2 Trofense Trofense POR3
19.04.2015 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-0 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR2
15.11.2014 Trofense Trofense 1-5 HT 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR2
19.07.2014 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 3-1 HT 2-1 Trofense Trofense HAZ

Trofense 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
0-1
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Trofense vs Vitoria Guimaraes II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Vitoria Guimaraes II edged past Trofense 1-0 away from home in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 4 Jan 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Trofense had 54% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes II's 46%, shots finished 6-9.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes II lead the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trofense and 2.75 for Vitoria Guimaraes II.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Trofense 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Trofense 42%, draw 28%, Vitoria Guimaraes II 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Trofense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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