Atletico CP 1-4 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.40/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.92
+14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Academica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Academica Academica 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
05.01.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-1 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
15.09.2024 Academica Academica 1-3 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
04.05.2024 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
10.03.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-3 HT 1-1 Academica Academica POR3
27.01.2024 Academica Academica 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-4
AWAY Academica
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica ran out comfortable winners over Atletico CP 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Academica made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico CP had 59% of the ball to Academica's 41%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico CP and 1.67 for Academica.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Academica?

Atletico CP 1-4 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 35%, draw 29%, Academica 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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