Atletico CP 1-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.50/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.33
+19% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Academica
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Academica Academica 1-3 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
04.05.2024 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
10.03.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-3 HT 1-1 Academica Academica POR3
27.01.2024 Academica Academica 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
29.10.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-1
AWAY Academica
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP and Academica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Atletico CP had 51% of the ball to Academica's 49%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atletico CP had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Atletico CP and 1.60 for Academica.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Academica?

Atletico CP 1-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 39%, draw 25%, Academica 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico CP), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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