Uniao Santarem 1-0 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.49/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.19
+17% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao Santarem
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dezembro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 1-1 HT 1-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
1-0
AWAY Dezembro
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem squeezed past Dezembro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 35%) promised a tight game; Uniao Santarem found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 48% of the ball to Dezembro's 52%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Dezembro?

Uniao Santarem 1-0 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 40%, draw 24%, Dezembro 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao Santarem), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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