Oliveira Hospital 2-2 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.80/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.59
+44% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oliveira Hospital
0W-0D-2L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
15.09.2024 CF Os Belenenses 2-1 HT 2-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
15.01.2023 CF Os Belenenses 4-1 HT 2-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oliveira Hospital
2-2
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oliveira Hospital vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oliveira Hospital and CF Os Belenenses shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oliveira Hospital had 64% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 36%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oliveira Hospital and 3.00 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Oliveira Hospital vs CF Os Belenenses?

Oliveira Hospital 2-2 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oliveira Hospital vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oliveira Hospital win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Oliveira Hospital 34%, draw 32%, CF Os Belenenses 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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