Fafe vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fafe v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Fafe vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Fafe
POR3
Fafe 1-0 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Fafe nicked a narrow win over Varzim 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Fafe had 47% of the ball to Varzim's 53%, shots finished 12-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fafe and 1.00 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Fafe vs Varzim?
Fafe 1-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fafe vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fafe 46%, draw 25%, Varzim 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.