Fafe 1-0 Varzim — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Portugal - Liga 3, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 08:15
Match Result
Home
43%
2.2
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
27%
3.04
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
58%
1.65
Over
42%
2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fafe The Market 45%
Signal
AWAY Varzim The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.50 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
1.18 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Varzim
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2025 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
17.05.2025 Varzim Varzim 5-3 HT 1-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
29.03.2025 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
09.11.2024 Fafe Fafe 2-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
10.08.2024 Varzim Varzim 0-2 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
03.12.2023 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1 - 0
AWAY Varzim
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Fafe vs Varzim
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fafe came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Varzim 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Fafe had 47% of the ball to Varzim's 53%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fafe and 1.00 for Varzim.

Fafe vs Varzim Result & Final Score

Fafe 1 - 0 Varzim in the Portugal - Liga 3 on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fafe vs Varzim Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fafe 43%, draw 30%, Varzim 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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