Varzim vs Fafe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Varzim v Fafe — Team-Based Signals
Varzim vs Fafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Fafe
POR3
0-0
HT 0-0
Varzim
POR3
Varzim 1-1 Fafe — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim and Fafe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Varzim at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Varzim had 38% of the ball to Fafe's 62%, shots finished 4-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Varzim and 1.50 for Fafe.
What was the final score of Varzim vs Fafe?
Varzim 1-1 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Varzim vs Fafe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Varzim 46%, draw 24%, Fafe 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varzim), Over 2.5 went the other way.