Varzim vs Fafe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Varzim v Fafe — Team-Based Signals
Varzim vs Fafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Fafe
POR3
0-0
HT 0-0
Varzim
POR3
1-0
HT 0-0
Fafe
POR3
Varzim 5-3 Fafe — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim beat Fafe 5-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Varzim had 39% of the ball to Fafe's 61%, shots finished 12-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Varzim and 1.00 for Fafe.
What was the final score of Varzim vs Fafe?
Varzim 5-3 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Varzim vs Fafe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Varzim 46%, draw 27%, Fafe 27%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.