Varzim vs Fafe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Varzim v Fafe — Team-Based Signals
Varzim vs Fafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Varzim 5-3 Fafe — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim took care of Fafe 5-3. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Varzim had 39% of the ball to Fafe's 61%, shots finished 12-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Varzim and 1.00 for Fafe.
Varzim vs Fafe Result & Final Score
Varzim 5 - 3 Fafe in the Portugal - Liga 3 on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Varzim vs Fafe Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Varzim 55%, draw 25%, Fafe 20%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.