Atletico CP 1-2 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
1.45/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.13
+11% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Dezembro
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
03.11.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
04.08.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-1 HT 0-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
17.12.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
03.09.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 3-0 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-2
AWAY Dezembro
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro nicked a narrow win over Atletico CP 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico CP at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico CP had 50% of the ball to Dezembro's 50%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atletico CP had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Atletico CP and 0.80 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Dezembro?

Atletico CP 1-2 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 44%, draw 27%, Dezembro 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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