Dezembro 0-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.34/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.52
+4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
04.08.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-1 HT 0-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
17.12.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
03.09.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 3-0 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
0-1
AWAY Atletico CP
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP nicked a narrow win over Dezembro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Atletico CP made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Dezembro had 51% of the ball to Atletico CP's 49%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dezembro and 1.50 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Atletico CP?

Dezembro 0-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 35%, draw 26%, Atletico CP 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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